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2017 January Update


The selection list was generated before the January 25 market opening. Price histories, adjusted for splits and dividends, were downloaded from Yahoo.


Comprehensive Strategy hedges

The January Barometer was positive. There will be no hedging this year.

Capital gains

Thousands of US$
  FEB   MAR   APR    MAY   JUN   JUL   AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV   DEC   JAN
              -28     -4    26   -54   -42     3   -14                  

Comprehensive Strategy investments

Selection list

                                    MERIT    PRICE   GROUP AND END MARKET  
MCD    McDonald's Corp               635    121.05  Restaurants     US/intl
CCI    Crown Castle                  480     87.66  Util, Telecom    US/Aus
RAI    Reynolds American             472     59.15  Tobacco Prods        US
SPG    Simon Property                449 X  184.14  Real Estate        intl
MO     Altria Group                  410     70.76  Tobacco Prods   US/intl
HD     Home Depot                    383    138.06  Home Furnish        NAm
DPZ    Domino's Pizza                373    169.51  Restaurants     US/intl
UNH    UnitedHealth Group            369    160.43  HC Plans             US
EL     Estee Lauder                  360 X   80.79  Personal Prods     intl
LMT    Lockheed Martin               351    252.91  Aerosp & Def    US/intl
PM     Philip Morris                 350     95.78  Tobacco Prods      intl
KMB    Kimberly-Clark Corp           338    121.79  Personal Prods     intl
ROST   Ross Stores                   337     66.11  Retail,Variety       US
SJM    JM Smucker                    330    134.51  Packaged Goods     intl
TJX    TJX Companies                 329     74.59  Retail,Variety  US/intl
AZO    AutoZone Inc                  323    738.43  Auto Parts       US/Mex
NOC    Northrop Grumman              310    232.59  Aerosp & Def       intl
CMCSA  Comcast Corp                  301     73.60  Entertainment      intl
STZ    Constellation Brands          301    153.05  Beverage, Hard     intl
COST   Costco Wholesale              296    163.67  Retail,Variety  US/intl

Portfolio

I sold options nearing expiration but there was no buyer for CCE17C50, which expired worthless.

I bought ROST options. MCD, CCI, RAI, HD, UNH, and LMT were already investments; MO, DPZ, PM, and KMB were in the same group and end market as existing investments; SPG was in the Real Estate group; and EL was more than halfway towards a trend reversal:

                   GROUP AND END MARKET           START            END     
20 CCE17C50       Beverage, Soft       EU   04/24/15   5,824  01/06       0
14 EL17C85        Personal Prods     intl   10/23/15  11,079  01/06     117
3 MCD17C90        Restaurants     US/intl   12/15/14   2,320  01/06   9,382
10 NI117C45       Util, Energy         US   01/27/15   3,096  01/06   2,844
14 STZ17C125      Beverage, Hard     intl   08/25/15  18,611  01/06  33,720
14 TJX17C70       Retail,Variety  US/intl   03/25/15  11,457  01/06   9,235
28 RAI17C38.75    Tobacco Prods        US   02/25/15   7,075  01/06  46,449

                   GROUP AND END MARKET           START        END OF MONTH
500 CCI           Util, Telecom    US/Aus   12/15/14  37,778  01/31  43,915
14 ADP19C97.5     Software           intl   11/25/16  11,513  01/31  19,180
60 ARCC18C15      Investments          US   03/28/16   4,315  01/31  12,000
60 ARCC18C17      Investments          US   05/25/16   1,495  01/31   3,600
2 AZO18C800       Auto Parts       US/Mex   07/25/16  15,468  01/31   6,466
14 CCI18C95       Util, Telecom    US/Aus   08/25/16   9,259  01/31   4,900
20 CMCSA18C55     Entertainment      intl   01/25/16  14,564  01/31  41,700
10 HD18C125       Home Furnish        NAm   10/25/16  10,406  01/31  18,200
10 HD18C130       Home Furnish        NAm   02/25/16  13,246  01/31  14,550
4 LMT18C220       Aerosp & Def    US/intl   12/15/15   8,567  01/31  14,400
10 MCD18C125      Restaurants     US/intl   06/24/16   7,576  01/31   5,850
30 RAI18C50       Tobacco Prods        US   09/23/16   9,032  01/31  31,500
20 ROST19C67.5    Retail,Variety       US   01/25/17  17,944  01/31  17,920
10 TRV18C115      Insurance       US/intl   11/25/15  10,812  01/31   9,650
6 UNH18C135       HC Plans             US   04/25/16   8,845  01/31  19,470
10 UNH19C165      HC Plans             US   12/16/16  19,546  01/31  18,500

Capital gains

Thousands of US$
  FEB   MAR   APR    MAY   JUN   JUL   AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV   DEC   JAN
   13    24   -14     -5    21    17   -35   -19     7     3    30     2

Real Estate Fund Strategy

Portfolio

I sold all options nearing expiration. To avoid creating a wash sale, I made no purchase this month:

                      DESCRIPTION                 START            END     
14 IYR17C72    iShares US Real Estate ETF   08/25/15   6,375  01/06   9,487
42 IYR17C76    iShares US Real Estate ETF   10/23/15  18,395  01/06  12,097

                      DESCRIPTION                 START        END OF MONTH
33 IYR18C72    iShares US Real Estate ETF   02/25/16  17,359  01/31  23,430
14 IYR18C75    iShares US Real Estate ETF   12/15/15   8,237  01/31   7,350
28 IYR18C76    iShares US Real Estate ETF   11/25/15  15,438  01/31  13,160
20 IYR18C78    iShares US Real Estate ETF   10/25/16   9,764  01/31   7,700
14 IYR18C80    iShares US Real Estate ETF   06/24/16   7,565  01/31   4,032
40 IYR18C83    iShares US Real Estate ETF   08/25/16  19,448  01/31   7,440
14 IYR18C85    iShares US Real Estate ETF   07/25/16   7,719  01/31   1,834
20 IYR19C76    iShares US Real Estate ETF   11/25/16  11,824  01/31  12,000
20 IYR19C77    iShares US Real Estate ETF   12/16/16  12,024  01/31  11,820

Capital gains

Thousands of US$
  FEB   MAR   APR    MAY   JUN   JUL   AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV   DEC   JAN
   -5    35   -10      9    36    35   -28   -19   -67   -13    34   -18

Easy Strategy

Buying in the Easy Strategy has been suspended indefinitely.

Portfolio

                       DESCRIPTION                START        END OF MONTH
85 SPY18C217        SPDR S&P 500 ETF        10/10/16 118,598  01/31 164,390

Capital gains

Thousands of US$
  FEB   MAR   APR    MAY   JUN   JUL   AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV   DEC   JAN
   -1    35    12                                  -17    33    20    10

Treasury bond Strategy

Portfolio

I bought 14 more IEF19C106 on 01/06/17 for $4191. They are included in the 12/05/16 purchase.

                       DESCRIPTION                START        END OF MONTH
14 IEF18C111   7-10 Year Treasury bond ETF  10/25/16   2,730  01/31     952
28 IEF19C106   7-10 Year Treasury bond ETF  12/05/16   8,554  01/31   7,840

Capital gains

Thousands of US$
  FEB   MAR   APR    MAY   JUN   JUL   AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV   DEC   JAN
                                                     0    -1    -1     0