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2016 November Update


The selection list was generated before the November 25 market opening. Price histories, adjusted for splits and dividends, were downloaded from Yahoo.


Comprehensive Strategy hedges

There will be no hedging until the next January Barometer defensive period begins.

Capital gains

Thousands of US$
  DEC   JAN   FEB   MAR   APR    MAY   JUN   JUL   AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV
                          -28     -4    26   -54   -42     3   -14      

Comprehensive Strategy investments

The final tranche of 2019 LEAPs was introduced this month.

Selection list

                                    MERIT    PRICE   GROUP AND END MARKET  
MCD    McDonald's Corp               638    120.14  Restaurants     US/intl
RAI    Reynolds American             506     54.35  Tobacco Prods        US
CCI    Crown Castle                  438 X   84.16  Util, Telecom    US/Aus
MO     Altria Group                  419     64.02  Tobacco Prods   US/intl
SPG    Simon Property                403 X  180.76  Real Estate        intl
HD     Home Depot                    387    131.21  Home Furnish        NAm
PM     Philip Morris                 344     88.89  Tobacco Prods      intl
DPZ    Domino's Pizza                341    170.56  Restaurants     US/intl
UNH    UnitedHealth Group            340    153.54  HC Plans             US
LMT    Lockheed Martin               338    264.40  Aerosp & Def    US/intl
TJX    TJX Companies                 337     79.43  Retail,Variety  US/intl
EL     Estee Lauder                  336 X   77.78  Personal Prods     intl
AZO    AutoZone Inc                  330    798.05  Auto Parts       US/Mex
ROST   Ross Stores                   326     69.25  Retail,Variety       US
KMB    Kimberly-Clark Corp           306 X  114.56  Personal Prods     intl
ADP    Automatic Data Processing     305     96.65  Software           intl
SJM    JM Smucker                    303 X  125.58  Packaged Goods     intl
STZ    Constellation Brands          300    154.57  Beverage, Hard     intl
NOC    Northrop Grumman              294    247.59  Aerosp & Def       intl
CMCSA  Comcast Corp                  293     68.96  Entertainment      intl

Portfolio

I bought ADP because all others were disqualified. MCD, RAI, CCI, HD, UNH, LMT, TJX, EL, AZO, STZ, and CMCSA were already investments; MO, PM, DPZ, ROST, KMB, SJM, and NOC were in the same group and end market as existing investments; and SPG was in the Real Estate group:

                   GROUP AND END MARKET           START        END OF MONTH
500 CCI           Util, Telecom    US/Aus   12/15/14  37,778  11/30  41,730
4800 GPAGF        Packaged Goods  US/intl   09/26/14  49,921  11/30  57,680
14 ADP19C97.5     Software           intl   11/25/16  11,513  11/30  11,494
60 ARCC18C15      Investments          US   03/28/16   4,315  11/30   5,400
60 ARCC18C17      Investments          US   05/25/16   1,495  11/30   1,500
2 AZO18C800       Auto Parts       US/Mex   07/25/16  15,468  11/30  13,560
14 CCI18C95       Util, Telecom    US/Aus   08/25/16   9,259  11/30   2,870
20 CCE17C50       Beverage, Soft       EU   04/24/15   5,824  11/30     800
20 CMCSA18C55     Entertainment      intl   01/25/16  14,564  11/30  33,000
14 EL17C85        Personal Prods     intl   10/23/15  11,079  11/30     602
10 HD18C125       Home Furnish        NAm   10/25/16  10,406  11/30  13,830
10 HD18C130       Home Furnish        NAm   02/25/16  13,246  11/30  10,700
4 LMT18C220       Aerosp & Def    US/intl   12/15/15   8,567  11/30  20,800
3 MCD17C90        Restaurants     US/intl   12/15/14   2,320  11/30   8,925
10 MCD18C125      Restaurants     US/intl   06/24/16   7,576  11/30   5,500
10 NI117C45       Util, Energy         US   01/27/15   3,096  11/30   2,800
28 RAI17C38.75    Tobacco Prods        US   02/25/15   7,075  11/30  42,840
30 RAI18C50       Tobacco Prods        US   09/23/16   9,032  11/30  17,820
14 STZ17C125      Beverage, Hard     intl   08/25/15  18,611  11/30  41,300
14 TJX17C70       Retail,Variety  US/intl   03/25/15  11,457  11/30  13,160
10 TRV18C115      Insurance       US/intl   11/25/15  10,812  11/30   7,300
6 UNh18C135       HC Plans             US   04/25/16   8,845  11/30  17,640

Capital gains

Thousands of US$
  DEC   JAN   FEB   MAR   APR    MAY   JUN   JUL   AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV
   -2    -7    13    24   -14     -5    21    17   -35   -19     7     3

Irregular Strategy

Buying in the Irregular Strategy has ended and the portfolio is empty.

Capital gains

Thousands of US$
  DEC   JAN   FEB   MAR   APR    MAY   JUN   JUL   AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV
   -7     7                                                             

Real Estate Fund Strategy

Portfolio

                      DESCRIPTION                 START        END OF MONTH
14 IYR17C72    iShares US Real Estate ETF   08/25/15   6,375  11/30   4,970
42 IYR17C76    iShares US Real Estate ETF   10/23/15  18,395  11/30   4,494
33 IYR18C72    iShares US Real Estate ETF   02/25/16  17,359  11/30  20,460
14 IYR18C75    iShares US Real Estate ETF   12/15/15   8,237  11/30   6,622
28 IYR18C76    iShares US Real Estate ETF   11/25/15  15,438  11/30  12,460
20 IYR18C78    iShares US Real Estate ETF   10/25/16   9,764  11/30   7,100
14 IYR18C80    iShares US Real Estate ETF   06/24/16   7,565  11/30   3,920
40 IYR18C83    iShares US Real Estate ETF   08/25/16  19,448  11/30   8,120
14 IYR18C85    iShares US Real Estate ETF   07/25/16   7,719  11/30   2,212
20 IYR19C76    iShares US Real Estate ETF   11/25/16   11,824 11/30  11,800

Capital gains

Thousands of US$
  DEC   JAN   FEB   MAR   APR    MAY   JUN   JUL   AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV
    2   -15    -5    35   -10      9    36    35   -28   -19   -67   -13

Easy Strategy

Buying in the Easy Strategy has ended.

Portfolio

                       DESCRIPTION                START        END OF MONTH
85 SPY18C217        SPDR S&P 500 ETF        10/10/16 118,598  11/30 134,640

Capital gains

Thousands of US$
  DEC   JAN   FEB   MAR   APR    MAY   JUN   JUL   AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV
  -22   -39    -1    35    12                                  -17    33

Treasury bond Strategy

Portfolio

There was no purchase this month because I have revised the timing for this strategy.

                       DESCRIPTION                START        END OF MONTH
14 IEF18C111   7-10 Year Treasury bond ETF  10/25/16   2,730  11/30   1,260

Capital gains

Thousands of US$
  DEC   JAN   FEB   MAR   APR    MAY   JUN   JUL   AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV
                                                                 0    -1