Home choices barometer timing tests signals realty easy buy sell lists
Because the January Barometer was negative, I will start defensive action on April 18 and end it on October 10. All stocks and call options in the Comprehensive Stragegy investments portfolio will be hedged with put options. The Easy Strategy portfolio will be sold. The Real Estate Fund portfolio will not be defended.
The selection list was generated before the January 25 market opening:
MERIT PRICE GROUP AND END MARKET
ARG Airgas Inc 591 138.60 Chemicals intl
MCD McDonald's Corp 520 118.40 Restaurants US/intl
CCI Crown Castle 454 81.62 Util, Telecom US/Aus
LB L Brands 431 95.92 Apparel US/Can
SPG Simon Property 430 187.32 Real Estate intl
MO Altria Group 379 58.28 Tobacco Prods US/intl
CCE Coca-Cola Enterprises 371 X 45.34 Beverage, Soft EU
RAI Reynolds American 363 46.30 Tobacco Prods US
HD Home Depot 323 122.76 Home Furnish NAm
AGN Allergen plc 314 298.04 Drugs intl
ABC AmerisourceBergen Corp 312 X 91.00 Drugs US/intl
LMT Lockheed Martin 312 212.04 Aerosp & Def US/intl
EL Estee Lauder 311 85.69 Personal Prods intl
STZ Constellation Brands 309 148.76 Beverage, Hard intl
CI Cigna Corp 304 X 137.90 HC Plans US/intl
AZO AutoZone Inc 301 728.32 Auto Parts US/Mex
TJX TJX Companies 301 68.95 Retail,Variety US/intl
COST Costco Wholesale 287 153.69 Retail,Variety US/intl
UNH UnitedHealth Group 282 114.33 HC Plans US
CMCSA Comcast Corp 269 55.33 Entertainment intl
Invesment purchases are now confined to call options. The portfolios for call options and stocks have been transferred to the portfolio for investments.
I sold HD16C92.5 before it expired.
I chose CMCSA for the purchase. Every stock higher in the list was disqualified because it was being merged (ARG), was already an investment (MCD, CCI, LB, CCE, RAI, AGN, LMT, EL, STZ, CI, and TJX), was in the Real Estate group (SPG), was in the same group and end market as an existing investment (MO, ABC, COST, UNH), exceeded the price limit (AZO), or was in the wash sale period (HD):
GROUP AND END MARKET START END
3 HD16C92.5 Home Furnish NAm 08/27/14 1,984 01/06 11,149
GROUP AND END MARKET START END OF MONTH
150 AGN Drugs intl 02/25/15 43,907 01/31 42,664
500 CCI Util, Telecom US/Aus 12/15/14 37,778 01/31 43,100
500 CI HC Plans US/intl 03/25/15 64,479 01/31 66,800
20 CMCSA Entertainment intl 01/25/16 14,564 01/31 15,000
300 GILD Biotechnology intl 04/25/14 22,206 01/31 24,900
1200 GMKYY Packaged Goods US/intl 09/26/14 49,921 01/31 71,640
20 CCE17C50 Beverage, Soft EU 04/24/15 5,824 01/31 4,200
14 EL17C85 Personal Prods intl 10/23/15 11,079 01/31 11,620
10 LB17C93 Apparel US/Can 09/25/15 10,516 01/31 11,300
4 LMT18C220 Aerosp & Def US/intl 12/15/15 8,567 01/31 5,960
3 MCD17C90 Restaurants US/intl 12/15/14 2,320 01/31 9,840
10 NI117C45 Util, Energy US 01/27/15 3,096 01/31 1,400
28 RAI17C38.75 Tobacco Prods US 02/25/15 7,075 01/31 28,560
14 STZ17C125 Beverage, Hard intl 08/25/15 18,611 01/31 45,402
14 TJX17C70 Retail,Variety US/intl 03/25/15 11,457 01/31 10,598
10 TRV18C115 Insurance US/intl 11/25/15 10,812 01/31 6,900
Thousands of US$
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN
50 4 -2 -7
Thousands of US$
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN
24 -4 -11 16 6 -4 -8 -13
Thousands of US$
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN
6 -11 -14 4 -7 12 -6 -2
There will be no hedges until we enter a January Barometer defensive period.
Thousands of US$
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN
-24 15 5 47 73 29 -90
Buying in the Irregular Strategy has ended.
I sold IEF16C105 before it expired.
DESCRIPTION START END
IEF16C105 7-10 Year Treasury 100 08/07/14 15,461 01/06 15,213
Thousands of US$ FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN -18 1 0 -9 -12 3 1 2 -4 -9 -7 7
I sold 2016 IYR options before they expired. To prevent creating a wash sale, there was no purchase. The $18,352 proceeds from the sales will be reinvested on February 25:
DESCRIPTION START END
3 IYR16C63 iShares US Real Estate 12/13/13 1,450 01/06 3,680
6 IYR16C65 iShares US Real Estate 01/27/14 2,790 01/06 6,143
3 IYR16C67 iShares US Real Estate 03/27/14 1,288 01/06 2,459
3 IYR16C69 iShares US Real Estate 02/27/14 1,270 01/06 1,868
8 IYR16C70 iShares US Real Estate 09/26/14 3,067 01/06 4,202
DESCRIPTION START END OF MONTH
14 IYR17C72 iShares US Real Estate 08/25/15 6,375 01/31 5,670
42 IYR17C76 iShares US Real Estate 10/23/15 18,395 01/31 10,500
14 IYR18C75 iShares US Real Estate 12/15/15 8,237 01/31 6,160
14 IYR18C76 iShares US Real Estate 11/25/15 7,719 01/31 5,670
Thousands of US$ FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN -29 3 -28 -7 -22 9 -15 -8 10 -2 2 -15
DESCRIPTION START END OF MONTH
60 SPY17C205 SPDR S&P 500 ETF 10/09/15 76,855 01/31 42,360
6 SPY18C190 SPDR S&P 500 ETF 01/25/16 11,233 01/31 12,054
8 SPY18C210 SPDR S&P 500 ET 11/25/15 14,939 01/31 8,336
Thousands of US$
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN
21 -12 1 18 3 -22 -39