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2014 February Update


The selection lists were generated before the February 27 market opening. The portfolios and capital gains summaries are current to the end of the month.


Comprehensive Strategy, stocks

Selection list

The Zacks screener was used to find approximately 250 stocks with price at least $5 and the lowest PEG ratios. Price histories, adjusted for splits and dividends, were downloaded from Yahoo with YLoader 4.9.0.0. Current trends were calculated with BULKLOAD.BAS:

Stock                          Trend  Hardnose Group             End Market
-----------------------------  -----  --------------------  ---------------
PGTI  PGT Inc                  253    Building Materials                USA
MPAA  Motorcar Parts           190    Auto Parts                 USA/Canada
TELNY Telenor ASA              189 X  Utilities, Telecom               intl
FUJHY Fuji Heavy Inds          172    Conglomerate                     intl
MEI   Methode Electronics      170    Electronic Equipment             intl
CSRE  CSR plc                  166    Semiconductors                   intl
GILD  Gilead Sciences          166    Biotechnology                    intl
CAR   Avis Budget Group        150    Rental Services                  intl
VRX   Valeant Pharma-          148    Drugs                            intl
BZLFY Bunzl plc                147    Packaging                        intl
HII   Huntington Ingalls       147    Aerospace & Defense               USA
GA    Giant Interactive        143    Software                        China
ASML  ASML Holding             142 X  Semiconductors                   intl
TSM   Taiwan Semiconductor     142    Semiconductors                   intl
MITL  Mitel Networks           141    Electronic Equipment         USA/intl
CPA   Copa Holdings            139 X  Airlines                    LatinAmer
AAL   American Airlines        132    Airlines                         intl
AOS   A O Smith                132    Industrial Equipment       NAmer/intl
PKG   Packaging Corp           130    Packaging                         USA
ANFI  Amira Nature Foods       129 X  Food, Diversified          India/intl

Portfolio

I sold BBSI, BCOR, LAD, OCN, and SLCA because they developed downtrends- LAD was sold one day late because I made in error in setting the limits. I sold half of BITA to rebalance on the first trading day before March 3.

I chose MPAA for the monthly purchase. PGTI was bypassed because I already own it:

Stock      Hardnose Group        Qty        Start               End        
-----   --------------------   -----  -----------------   -----------------
BBSI    Business Services        350  11/27/12   11,018   02/06/14   23,837
BCOR    Information Services     700  01/27/14   17,978   02/18/14   14,817
BITA    Information Services     750  07/26/13    9,222   02/28/14   30,556
LAD     Autos & Trucks           500  12/14/12   17,246   02/05/14   27,549
OCN     Banks                    500  06/27/12    9,230   02/03/14   21,523
SLCA    Basic Materials          700  11/20/13   22,496   02/05/14   18,154

Stock      Hardnose Group        Qty        Start            End of Month  
-----   --------------------   -----  -----------------   -----------------
BITA    Information Services     750  07/26/13    9,222   02/28/14   30,000
CAMP    Electronic Equipment    1500  07/27/12   11,171   02/28/14   48,060
CHL     Utilities, Telecom       350  04/19/05    5,662   02/28/14   16,642
CPA     Airlines                 150  08/27/13   19,904   02/28/14   20,319
DXPE    Industrial Equipment     250  09/27/12   11,901   02/28/14   25,440
EADSY   Aerospace & Defense     1000  12/13/13   18,548   02/28/14   18,270
JAZZ    Biotechnology            250  01/27/12   12,005   02/28/14   37,986
MPAA    Auto Parts               700  02/27/14   17,135                    
MU      Semiconductors          1000  09/27/13   17,935   02/28/14   24,190
MWE     Oil & Gas                300  12/15/11   16,044   02/28/14   19,155
PGTI    Building Materials      2000  06/27/13   17,304   02/28/14   23,180

Capital gains

 May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov    Dec    Jan    Feb   Stock
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
 1507   2937   6523  -6501   7910   -786   4174 -16015                 AFSI
 2379                                                                  BBSI
 1887  -2142   6317  -2097   1064   5586    438   2877  -5015  -3607   BBSI
                                                               -3161   BCOR
                      2135   3600  12585  10485    690  -1965   7569   BITA
                                                                7013   BITA
 6120   4290   2250   3120   3660   1121                               CAMP
                                    8865   2130   4545   2265   3840   CAMP
-1204    -10    402    368    860  -1543    777   -682  -1554   -106    CHL
                              896   1631    282   1303  -4411    714    CPA
-4095                                                                  CRAY
-3905   3765   1255   -565   5495   6465   3040   8610   -893          DXPE
                                                        -4790   1430   DXPE
                                                         -868    590  EADSY
       -3723                                                           HIMX
                                   -3983                               IGLD
 4810    380   3414   6066   2140   -615  13090    629                 JAZZ
                                                  2410   6275     71   JAZZ
 1285    610   5965    190   3670  -5055   1615   1670  -6565   -596    LAD
 1395    720  13380   6375  -7035  -3060   -264                        MGAM
                                          -2850                        MGAM
                                    -255   3420    650   1290   1150     MU
  792    303   1008  -1026   1632    615  -1563   -882   1218  -1902    MWE
 6200  -1560    125                                                     OCN
               3200   1410   2665    230    215   -605  -5655   -547    OCN
               2696    360   -560   1100   -900    240   1120   1820   PGTI
                                                  1381  -3143  -2580   SLCA
 -574  -2436                                                           VIPS
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
16597   3134  46535   9835  25997  22901  34090   6821 -22691  11697  Total

Comprehensive Strategy, call options

Selection list

The Zacks screener was used to find approximately 750 stocks with price at least $5 and the lowest PEG ratios. Price histories, adjusted for splits and dividends, were downloaded from Yahoo with YLoader 4.9.0.0. Current trends were calculated with BULKLOAD.BAS, and then merits were calculated as described on the tests page:

Stock                          Merit  Hardnose Group             End Market
-----------------------------  -----  --------------------  ---------------
PII   Polaris Inds             389    Recreation                   USA/intl
HD    Home Depot               336    Home Furnishings                NAmer
CMCSK Comcast Corp             292    Utilities, Telecom               intl
AZO   AutoZone Inc             284    Auto Parts                 USA/Mexico
JAZZ  Jazz Pharmaceuticals     262    Biotechnology                USA/intl
CI    Cigna Corp               258    Healthcare Plans             USA/intl
ACT   Actavis plc              255    Drugs                 USA/Canada/intl
PKG   Packaging Corp           222    Packaging                         USA
DFS   Discover Financial       213    Financial Services                USA
DTV   DIRECTV                  194    Utilities, Telecom      USA/LatinAmer
ASML  ASML Holding             173 X  Semiconductors                   intl
GILD  Gilead Sciences          171    Biotechnology                    intl
CAR   Avis Budget Group        151    Rental Services                  intl
MU    Micron Technology        144    Semiconductors                   intl
DAL   Delta Airlines           134    Airlines                         intl
MPEL  Melco Crown              128    Entertainment                   China
AAL   American Airlines        128    Airlines                         intl
VRX   Valeant Pharmaceuticals  116    Drugs                            intl
LYG   Lloyds Bank              112    Banks                         UK/intl
YY    YY Inc                    93    Information Services            China

Portfolio

I chose PKG for the monthly purchase. PII, HD, CMCSK, JAZZ, CI, and ACT were bypassed because I already own them. AZO was bypassed because it exceeds the price limit:

Option      Hardnose Group       Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
ACT15C95    Drugs                  2  03/27/13    1,910   02/28/14   13,552
CAR15C35    Rental Services        7  05/24/13    3,793   02/28/14    7,609
CI15C60     Healthcare Plans       3  01/25/13    2,317   02/28/14    5,892
CMCSK15C37  Utilities, Telecom     5  12/14/12    2,047   02/28/14    2,900
FDO16C65    Retail, Variety        3  12/13/13    2,269   02/28/14    2,259
GNRC16C50   Machinery              5  11/20/13    5,107   02/28/14    5,165
HD15C77.5   Home Furnishings       3  09/27/13    2,089   02/28/14    2,235
LYB15C70    Chemicals              3  07/26/13    2,200   02/28/14    5,157
PETM15C70   Retail, Specialty      3  11/27/12    3,550   02/28/14      996
PII15C87.5  Recreation             2  02/27/13    2,750   02/28/14    3,580
PKG16C72.5  Packaging              3  02/27/14    2,452                    
ROST15C65   Apparel                3  06/27/13    2,488   02/28/14    3,384
STZ15C65    Beverages, Alcoholic   3  10/25/13    2,284   02/28/14    5,400
UNP16C175   Railroads              1  01/27/14    1,639   02/28/14    1,950

Capital gains

 May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov    Dec    Jan    Feb  Option
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
    0   5320      0      0      0   2960      0   3372      0      0   ACTc
  654    516   1340  -2314    168    872   2384   1500    -89          AZOc
         -13    -70  -1610   -420    840   2100      0   1400   1589   CARc
  690     60   2067     60    504      0   -207      0   1725  -2712    CIc
  640   -830     90    250      0      0      0      0      0      0 CMCSKc
 1450   -285    885  -1075   2525   -255    610     45    608          DFSc
  300   -510   -201   -225    -48    474     60    -45   -340          DRIc
                                                          -10      0   FDOc
                             -482   1200  -1615    -50  -2302          GMEc
                                                  1493  -1435      0  GNRCc
                                     101    399    171  -1155    630    HDc
                       320    180    570   -270    534      0   1623   LYBc
  750   -120     30   -210    810   -360    -57   -291  -1482     36  PETMc
  594  -1620  -1566                                                    PHMc
    0      0   1020      0      0      0      0      0      0      0   PIIc
                215    201    537      0   1131  -1188      0      0  ROSTc
                                            806     90   1278    942   STZc
 2190    -40    264  -1302      0      0   1928     50    620          UNPc
                                                                 311   UNPc
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
 7268   2478   4074  -5905   3774   6402   7269   5681  -1182   2419  Total

Real Estate Fund Strategy

Portfolio

Option          Description      Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
IYR15C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  11/27/12    1,825   02/28/14    1,428
IYR15C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  12/14/12    1,490   02/28/14    1,428
IYR15C69    US Real Estate ETF     3  01/25/13    1,225   02/28/14      690
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  02/27/13    1,369   02/28/14      810
IYR15C70    US Real Estate ETF     3  03/27/13    1,180   02/28/14      594
IYR15C73    US Real Estate ETF     3  04/26/13    1,195   02/28/14      162
IYR15C73    US Real Estate ETF     3  05/24/13    1,264   02/28/14      162
IYR15C67    US Real Estate ETF     3  06/27/13    1,465   02/28/14    1,062
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  07/26/13    1,450   02/28/14      810
IYR15C63    US Real Estate ETF     3  08/27/13    1,462   02/28/14    1,710
IYR15C65    US Real Estate ETF     3  09/27/13    1,336   02/28/14    1,365
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  10/25/13    1,330   02/28/14      810
IYR16C65    US Real Estate ETF     3  11/20/13    1,495   02/28/14    1,734
IYR16C63    US Real Estate ETF     3  12/13/13    1,450   02/28/14    2,070
IYR16C65    US Real Estate ETF     3  01/27/14    1,294   02/28/14    1,734
IYR16C69    US Real Estate ETF     3  02/27/14    1,270                    

Capital gains

 May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov    Dec    Jan    Feb  Option
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
  755  -7927   2519  -6484   1316   3029  -7771  -1900    780   4487   IYRc

Easy Strategy

Portfolio

I mistakenly purchased the December 2016 option instead of the January 2016 option:

Option          Description      Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
SPY15C150   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  01/25/13    1,243   02/28/14    3,750
SPY15C155   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  02/27/13    1,037   02/28/14    3,210
SPY15C160   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  03/27/13    1,020   02/28/14    2,869
SPY15C160   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  04/26/13    1,104   02/28/14    2,869
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  05/24/13    1,282   02/28/14    2,370
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  06/27/13    1,097   02/28/14    2,370
SPY15C170   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  07/26/13    1,079   02/28/14    2,010
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  08/27/13    1,122   02/28/14    2,370
SPY15C170   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  09/27/13    1,059   02/28/14    2,010
SPY15C180   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  10/25/13      838   02/28/14    1,287
SPY16C180   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  11/20/13    1,577   02/28/14    1,781
SPY16C179   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  12/13/13    1,520   02/28/14    1,711
SPY16C179   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  01/27/14    1,569   02/28/14    1,711
SPY16C185   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  02/27/14    1,785                    

Capital gains

 May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov    Dec    Jan    Feb  Option
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
 1655  -1052   2282  -2069   1677   4336   3446   2944  -5285   5971   SPYc