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2013 November Update


The selection lists were generated before the November 20 market opening. The portfolios and capital gains summaries are current to the end of the month.


Comprehensive Strategy, stocks

Selection list

The Zacks screener was used to find approximately 250 stocks with price at least $5 and the lowest PEG ratios. Price histories, adjusted for splits and dividends, were downloaded from Yahoo and current trends were calculated:

Company                        Trend  Hardnose Group             End Market
-----------------------------  -----  --------------------  ---------------
JAZZ  Jazz Pharmaceuticals     263    Biotechnology                USA/intl
PGTI  PGT Inc                  246 X  Building Materials                USA
AFSI  AmTrust Financial        206    Insurance                    USA/intl
LCI   Lannett Co               203    Drugs                             USA
AN    AutoNation Inc           192    Autos & Trucks                    USA
SFUN  SouFun Holdings          187    Information Services            China
LAD   Lithia Motors            169    Autos & Trucks                    USA
MPAA  Motorcar Parts           149    Auto Parts                 USA/Canada
AWH   Allied World Assurance   148    Insurance                    USA/intl
QCOR  Questcor Pharma_         143 X  Biotechnology                     USA
SLCA  US Silica                137    Basic Materials                   USA
CPA   Copa Holdings            134    Airlines                    LatinAmer
MU    Micron Technology        133    Semiconductors                   intl
ABG   Asbury Automotive        128    Autos & Trucks                    USA
MHK   Mohawk Ind               127    Building Materials         USA/Europe
HII   Huntington Ingall        125    Aerospace & Defense               USA
ESI   ITT Educational          124    Business Services                 USA
SPB   Spectrum Brands          122    Industrial Equipment             intl
VRX   Valeant Pharma_          122    Drugs                        USA/intl
GA    Giant Interactive        121    Software                        China

Portfolio

I sold half of MGAM to rebalance and raise cash. I sold the remaining half after MGAM developed a downtrend.

I chose SLCA for the monthly purchase. JAZZ, PGTI, AFSI, and LAD were disqualified because I already own them. LCI, AN, SFUN, MPAA, AWH, and QCOR were disqualified because they are in the same groups and end markets as stocks I already own:

Prime      Hardnose Group        Qty        Start               End        
-----   --------------------   -----  -----------------   -----------------
MGAM    Entertainment            750  05/25/12    9,566   11/01/13   24,119
MGAM    Entertainment            750  05/25/12    9,566   11/25/13   21,533

Prime      Hardnose Group        Qty        Start            End of Month  
-----   --------------------   -----  -----------------   -----------------
AFSI    Insurance               1210  08/26/11   22,593   11/30/13   50,590
BBSI    Business Services        350  11/27/12   11,018   11/30/13   29,582
BITA    Information Services    1500  07/26/13   18,445   11/30/13   47,250
CAMP    Electronic Equipment    1500  07/27/12   11,171   11/30/13   37,410
CHL     Utilities, Telecom       350  04/19/05    5,662   11/30/13   18,984
CPA     Airlines                 150  08/27/13   19,904   11/30/13   22,713
DXPE    Industrial Equipment     500  09/27/12   23,802   11/30/13   48,990
JAZZ    Biotechnology            500  01/27/12   24,010   11/30/13   58,460
LAD     Autos & Trucks           500  12/14/12   17,246   11/30/13   33,040
MU      Semiconductors          1000  09/27/13   17,935   11/30/13   21,100
MWE     Oil & Gas                300  12/15/11   16,044   11/30/13   20,721
OCN     Banks                    500  06/27/12    9,230   11/30/13   28,330
PGTI    Building Materials      2000  06/27/13   17,304   11/30/13   20,000
SLCA    Basic Materials          700  11/20/13   22,496                    

Capital gains

 Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov   Prime
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
 -121   1540  -3289   1507   2937   6523  -6501   7910   -786   4174   AFSI
 2303   6286    196   2379                                             BBSI
                      1887  -2142   6317  -2097   1064   5586    438   BBSI
                                           2135   3600  12585  10485   BITA
 7800     60    480   6120   4290   2250   3120   3660   1121          CAMP
                                                         8865   2130   CAMP
  346   -584    738  -1204    -10    402    368    860  -1543    777    CHL
                                                   896   1631    282    CPA
 1081   3860  -2050  -4095                                             CRAY
 3110   6250  -3910  -3905   3765   1255   -565   5495   6465   3040   DXPE
                            -3723                                      HIMX
                                                        -3983          IGLD
  415  -1135   1220   4810    380   3414   6066   2140   -615  13090   JAZZ
 -280   3190   1020   1285    610   5965    190   3670  -5055   1615    LAD
 6870   3255   5685   1395    720  13380   6375  -7035  -3060   -264   MGAM
                                                               -2850   MGAM
                                                         -255   3420     MU
 1065   1074    735    792    303   1008  -1026   1632    615  -1563    MWE
 2090  -1500  -1340   6200  -1560    125                                OCN
                                    3200   1410   2665    230    215    OCN
                                    2696    360   -560   1100   -900   PGTI
        2743    294   -574  -2436                                      VIPS
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
24679  25039   -221  16597   3134  46535   9835  25997  22901  34090  Total

Comprehensive Strategy, call options

Selection list

The final tranche of 2016 LEAPs was introduced this month. The merit figures are for 2016 LEAPs, not 2015 LEAPs.

The Zacks screener was used to find approximately 750 stocks with price at least $5 and the lowest PEG ratios. Price histories, adjusted for splits and dividends, were downloaded from Yahoo. Current trends, premium ratios, and merits were calculated:

Company                        Merit  Hardnose Group             End Market
-----------------------------  -----  --------------------  ---------------
UNP   Union Pacific            302    Railroads                         USA
CMCSK Comcast Corp             267    Utilities, Telecom               intl
HD    The Home Depot           261    Home Furnishings                NAmer
AZO   AutoZone Inc             244    Auto Parts                 USA/Mexico
UNH   UnitedHealth Group       234    Healthcare Plans                  USA
LYB   LyondellBasell Ind       230    Chemicals                        intl
CI    Cigna Corp               223    Healthcare Plans             USA/intl
JAZZ  Jazz Pharmaceuticals     220    Biotechnology                USA/intl
AFSI  AmTrust Financial        198    Insurance                    USA/intl
DFS   Discover Financial       194    Financial Services                USA
GNRC  Generac Holdings         192    Machinery                       NAmer
BIIB  Biogen Idec              171    Biotechnology                USA/intl
ASML  ASML Holding             164    Semiconductors                   intl
OCN   Ocwen Financial          159    Banks                        USA/intl
GILD  Gilead Sciences          140    Biotechnology                    intl
SLCA  US Silica Holdings       112    Basic Materials                   USA
KKD   Krispy Kreme             103    Restaurants                      intl
RAD   Rite Aid                 101    Retail, Variety                   USA
QCOR  Questcor Pharma_          87 X  Biotechnology                     USA
YY    YY Inc                    70    Information Services            China

Portfolio

I chose GNRC for the monthly purchase. UNP, CMCSK, HD, AZO, LYB, CI, JAZZ, AFSI, and DFS were disqualified because I already own them. UNH was disqualified because it is in the same group and end market as a stock I already own:

Prime       Hardnose Group       Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
ACT15C95    Drugs                  2  03/27/13    1,910   11/30/13   10,180
AZO14C380   Auto Parts             1  08/27/12    4,049   11/30/13    8,210
CAR15C35    Rental Services        7  05/24/13    3,793   11/30/13    4,620
CI15C60     Healthcare Plans       3  01/25/13    2,317   11/30/13    6,879
CMCSK15C37  Utilities, Telecom     5  12/14/12    2,047   11/30/13    2,900
DFS14C40    Credit Services        5  07/31/12    1,862   11/30/13    6,855
DRI14C52.5  Restaurants            3  10/26/12    1,585   11/30/13      630
GME15C55    Electronic Supplies    5  08/27/13    3,732   11/30/13    2,835
GNRC16C50   Machinery              5  11/20/13    5,107                    
HD15C77.5   Home Furnishings       3  09/27/13    2,089   11/30/13    2,589
LYB15C70    Chemicals              3  07/26/13    2,200   11/30/13    3,000
PETM15C70   Retail, Specialty      3  11/27/12    3,550   11/30/13    2,733
PII15C87.5  Recreation             2  02/27/13    2,750   11/30/13    3,580
ROST15C65   Apparel                3  06/27/13    2,488   11/30/13    4,572
STZ15C65    Beverages, Alcoholic   3  10/25/13    2,284   11/30/13    3,090
UNP14C140   Railroads              2  09/27/12    2,570   11/30/13    8,610

Capital gains

 Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov   Prime
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
                -10      0   5320      0      0      0   2960      0   ACTc
  850    730   1010    654    516   1340  -2314    168    872   2384   AZOc
                              -13    -70  -1610   -420    840   2100   CARc
  -10    573    825    690     60   2067     60    504      0   -207    CIc
  415    -50    350    640   -830     90    250      0      0      0 CMCSKc
 -175   1840   -455   1450   -285    885  -1075   2525   -255    610   DFSc
   45    435      0    300   -510   -201   -225    -48    474     60   DRIc
                                                  -482   1200  -1615   GMEc
                                                                      GNRCc
                                                          101    399    HDc
                                            320    180    570   -270   LYBc
 -720      0   -180    750   -120     30   -210    810   -360    -57  PETMc
                       594  -1620  -1566                               PHMc
         -10   -180      0      0   1020      0      0      0      0   PIIc
                                     215    201    537      0   1131  ROSTc
                                                                 806   STZc
  -78    442   1430   2190    -40    264  -1302      0      0   1928   UNPc
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
  327   3960   2790   7268   2478   4074  -5905   3774   6402   7269  Total

Real Estate Fund Strategy

Portfolio

Prime           Description      Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
IYR14C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  10/26/12    1,240   11/30/13      261
IYR15C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  11/27/12    1,825   11/30/13    1,035
IYR15C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  12/14/12    1,490   11/30/13    1,035
IYR15C69    US Real Estate ETF     3  01/25/13    1,225   11/30/13      678
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  02/27/13    1,369   11/30/13      681
IYR15C70    US Real Estate ETF     3  03/27/13    1,180   11/30/13      426
IYR15C73    US Real Estate ETF     3  04/26/13    1,195   11/30/13      318
IYR15C73    US Real Estate ETF     3  05/24/13    1,264   11/30/13      318
IYR15C67    US Real Estate ETF     3  06/27/13    1,465   11/30/13      789
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  07/26/13    1,450   11/30/13      681
IYR15C63    US Real Estate ETF     3  08/27/13    1,462   11/30/13    1,239
IYR15C65    US Real Estate ETF     3  09/27/13    1,336   11/30/13      900
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  10/25/13    1,330   11/30/13      681
IYR16C65    US Real Estate ETF     3  11/20/13    1,495                    

Capital gains

 Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov    Hold
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
  170    590   4259    755  -7927   2519  -6484   1316   3029  -7771   IYRc

Easy Strategy

Portfolio

Prime           Description      Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
SPY15C150   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  01/25/13    1,243   11/30/13    3,275
SPY15C155   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  02/27/13    1,037   11/30/13    2,846
SPY15C160   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  03/27/13    1,020   11/30/13    2,481
SPY15C160   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  04/26/13    1,104   11/30/13    2,481
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  05/24/13    1,282   11/30/13    2,117
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  06/27/13    1,097   11/30/13    2,117
SPY15C170   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  07/26/13    1,079   11/30/13    1,729
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  08/27/13    1,122   11/30/13    2,117
SPY15C170   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  09/27/13    1,059   11/30/13    1,729
SPY15C180   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  10/25/13      838   11/30/13    1,130
SPY16C180   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  11/20/13    1,577                    

Capital gains

 Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov    Hold
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
   67    492    307   1655  -1052   2282  -2069   1677   4336   3446   SPYc