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2013 October Update


The selection lists were generated before the October 25 market opening. The portfolios and capital gains summaries are current to the end of the month.


Comprehensive Strategy, stocks

Selection list

The FinViz screener was used to find approximately 250 stocks with price at least $5 and the lowest PEG ratios. Price histories were downloaded from Google and current trends were calculated:

Company                        Trend  Hardnose Group             End Market
-----------------------------  -----  --------------------  ---------------
BXMT  Blackstone Mortgage      277    Real Estate                       USA
PGTI  PGT Inc                  246    Building Materials                USA
CAMP  CalAmp Corp              230    Electronic Equipment              USA
AFSI  AmTrust Financial        196    Insurance                    USA/intl
AN    AutoNation Inc           192    Autos & Trucks                    USA
IGLD  Internet _ Golden Lines  173    Utilities, Telecom             Israel
LAD   Lithia Motors            167    Autos & Trucks                    USA
WGO   Winnebago Ind            160    Recreation                 USA/Canada
SFUN  SouFun Holdings          159    Information Services            China
YY    YY Inc                   158    Information Services            China
QCOR  Questcor Pharma_         140    Biotechnology                     USA
STZ   Constellation Brands     135    Beverages, Alcoholic         USA/intl
AWH   Allied World Assurance   133    Insurance                    USA/intl
ABG   Asbury Automotive        128    Autos & Trucks                    USA
EDN   Edenor SA                126    Utilities, Energy           Argentina
CPA   Copa Holdings            126    Airlines                    LatinAmer
REGI  Renewable Energy         125 X  Oil & Gas                         USA
CAR   Avis Budget Group        118    Rental Services                  intl
VAC   Mariott Vacations        114    Entertainment                USA/intl
DAL   Delta Air Lines          112    Airlines                     USA/intl

Portfolio

I sold half of CAMP to rebalance and raise cash. I sold IGLD because it developed a downtrend.

I chose IGLD for the periodic purchase. I bypassed BXMT because it is in the Real Estate group (and it had a reverse split that Google overlooked); PGTI, CAMP, and AFSI because I already own them; and AN because it is in the same group and end market as a stock I already own:

Prime      Hardnose Group        Qty        Start                End       
-----   --------------------   -----  -----------------   -----------------
CAMP    Electronic Equipment    1500  07/27/12   11,171   10/02/13   27,536
IGLD    Utilities, Telecom      1500  10/25/13   19,358   10/31/13   15,375

Prime      Hardnose Group        Qty        Start            End of Month  
-----   --------------------   -----  -----------------   -----------------
AFSI    Insurance               1210  08/26/11   22,593   10/31/13   46,416
BBSI    Business Services        350  11/27/12   11,018   10/31/13   29,144
BITA    Information Services    1500  07/26/13   18,445   10/31/13   36,765
CAMP    Electronic Equipment    1500  07/27/12   11,171   10/31/13   35,280
CHL     Utilities, Telecom       350  04/19/05    5,662   10/31/13   18,207
CPA     Airlines                 150  08/27/13   19,904   10/31/13   22,431
DXPE    Industrial Equipment     500  09/27/12   23,802   10/31/13   45,950
JAZZ    Biotechnology            500  01/27/12   24,010   10/31/13   45,370
LAD     Autos & Trucks           500  12/14/12   17,246   10/31/13   31,425
MGAM    Entertainment           1500  05/25/12   19,133   10/31/13   48,765
MU      Semiconductors          1000  09/27/13   17,935   10/31/13   17,680
MWE     Oil & Gas                300  12/15/11   16,044   10/31/13   22,284
OCN     Banks                    500  06/27/12    9,230   10/31/13   28,115
PGTI    Building Materials      2000  06/27/13   17,304   10/31/13   20,900

Capital gains

01/25   Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct   Prime
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
 2267                                                                  AAMC
   90                                                                  AAPL
 5544   -121   1540  -3289   1507   2937   6523  -6501   7910   -786   AFSI
-1782                                                                  ASPS
 2751   2303   6286    196   2379                                      BBSI
                             1887  -2142   6317  -2097   1064   5586   BBSI
                                                  2135   3600  12585   BITA
  -60   7800     60    480   6120   4290   2250   3120   3660   1121   CAMP
                                                                8865   CAMP
-1182    346   -584    738  -1204    -10    402    368    860  -1543    CHL
                                                          896   1631    CPA
        1081   3860  -2050  -4095                                      CRAY
 5030   3110   6250  -3910  -3905   3765   1255   -565   5495   6465   DXPE
                                   -3723                               HIMX
-3373                                                                  IACI
                                                               -3983   IGLD
 3180    415  -1135   1220   4810    380   3414   6066   2140   -615   JAZZ
 3584   -280   3190   1020   1285    610   5965    190   3670  -5055    LAD
  225   6870   3255   5685   1395    720  13380   6375  -7035  -3060   MGAM
                                                                -255     MU
 1422   1065   1074    735    792    303   1008  -1026   1632    615    MWE
 2830   2090  -1500  -1340   6200  -1560    125                         OCN
                                           3200   1410   2665    230    OCN
                                           2696    360   -560   1100   PGTI
 1527                                                                  RESI
               2743    294   -574  -2436                               VIPS
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
22053  24679  25039   -221  16597   3134  46535   9835  25997  22901  Total

Comprehensive Strategy, call options

Selection list

The FinViz screener was used to find approximately 750 stocks with price at least $5 and the lowest PEG ratios. Price histories were downloaded from Google. Current trends, premium ratios, and merits were calculated:

Company                        Merit  Hardnose Group             End Market
-----------------------------  -----  --------------------  ---------------
UNP   Union Pacific            378    Railroads                         USA
PETM  PetSmart Inc             343    Retail, Specialty          USA/Canada
ORLY  O'Reilly Automotive      332    Auto Parts                        USA
HD    The Home Depot           324    Home Furnishings            USA/NAmer
AZO   AutoZone Inc             316    Auto Parts                 USA/Mexico
CMCSA Comcast Corp             304    Utilities, Telecom               intl
CI    Cigna Corp               291    Healthcare Plans             USA/intl
JAZZ  Jazz Pharmaceuticals     281    Biotechnology                USA/intl
DFS   Discover Financial       261    Credit Sevices                    USA
OCN   Ocwen Financial          229    Banks                        USA/intl
LYB   LyondellBasell Ind       228    Chemicals                        intl
DTV   DIRECTV                  218    Utilities, Telecom      USA/LatinAmer
STZ   Constellation Brands     207    Beverages, Alcoholic         USA/intl
TSM   Taiwan Semiconductor     204    Semiconductors                   intl
REGN  Regeneron Pharma_        163    Biotechnology                USA/intl
GPOR  Gulfport Energy          146    Oil & Gas                         USA
LGF   Lions Gate               132    Entertainment                USA/intl
MU    Micron Technology        129    Semiconductors                   intl
QCOR  Questcor Pharma_         105    Biotechnology                     USA
YY    YY Inc                    94    Information Services            China

Portfolio

I chose STZ for the periodic purchase. I bypassed UNP, PETM, HD, AZO, CMCS, CI, JAZZ, DFS, OCN, and LYB because I already own them. I bypassed ORLY and DTV because they are in the same groups and end markets as stocks I already own:

Prime       Hardnose Group       Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
ACT15C95    Drugs                  2  03/27/13    1,910   10/31/13   10,180
AZO14C380   Auto Parts             1  08/27/12    4,049   10/31/13    5,826
CAR15C35    Rental Services        7  05/24/13    3,793   10/31/13    2,520
CI15C60     Healthcare Plans       3  01/25/13    2,317   10/31/13    7,086
CMCSK15C37  Utilities, Telecom     5  12/14/12    2,047   10/31/13    2,900
DFS14C40    Credit Services        5  07/31/12    1,862   10/31/13    6,245
DRI14C52.5  Restaurants            3  10/26/12    1,585   10/31/13      570
GME15C55    Electronic Supplies    5  08/27/13    3,732   10/31/13    4,450
HD15C77.5   Home Furnishings       3  09/27/13    2,089   10/31/13    2,190
LYB15C70    Chemicals              3  07/26/13    2,200   10/31/13    3,270
PETM15C70   Retail, Specialty      3  11/27/12    3,550   10/31/13    2,790
PII15C87.5  Recreation             2  02/27/13    2,750   10/31/13    3,580
ROST15C65   Apparel                3  06/27/13    2,488   10/31/13    3,441
STZ15C65    Beverages, Alcoholic   3  10/25/13    2,284                    
UNP14C140   Railroads              2  09/27/12    2,570   10/31/13    6,682

Capital gains

01/25   Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct   Prime
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
                       -10      0   5320      0      0      0   2960   ACTc
 -320    850    730   1010    654    516   1340  -2314    168    872   AZOc
                                     -13    -70  -1610   -420    840   CARc
         -10    573    825    690     60   2067     60    504      0    CIc
  -12    415    -50    350    640   -830     90    250      0      0 CMCSKc
 -760   -175   1840   -455   1450   -285    885  -1075   2525   -255   DFSc
 -303     45    435      0    300   -510   -201   -225    -48    474   DRIc
                                                         -482   1200   GMEc
                                                                 101    HDc
                                                   320    180    570   LYBc
 -750   -720      0   -180    750   -120     30   -210    810   -360  PETMc
                              594  -1620  -1566                        PHMc
                -10   -180      0      0   1020      0      0      0   PIIc
                                            215    201    537      0  ROSTc
  816    -78    442   1430   2190    -40    264  -1302      0      0   UNPc
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
-1329    327   3960   2790   7268   2478   4074  -5905   3774   6402  Total

Real Estate Fund Strategy

Portfolio

Prime           Description      Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
IYR14C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  10/26/12    1,240   10/31/13    1,080
IYR15C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  11/27/12    1,825   10/31/13    1,782
IYR15C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  12/14/12    1,490   10/31/13    1,782
IYR15C69    US Real Estate ETF     3  01/25/13    1,225   10/31/13    1,140
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  02/27/13    1,369   10/31/13    1,305
IYR15C70    US Real Estate ETF     3  03/27/13    1,180   10/31/13      804
IYR15C73    US Real Estate ETF     3  04/26/13    1,195   10/31/13      690
IYR15C73    US Real Estate ETF     3  05/24/13    1,264   10/31/13      690
IYR15C67    US Real Estate ETF     3  06/27/13    1,465   10/31/13    1,140
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  07/26/13    1,450   10/31/13    1,305
IYR15C63    US Real Estate ETF     3  08/27/13    1,462   10/31/13    2,061
IYR15C65    US Real Estate ETF     3  09/27/13    1,336   10/31/13    1,704
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  10/25/13    1,330                    

Capital gains

01/25   Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Hold
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
 1291    170    590   4259    755  -7927   2519  -6484   1316   3029   IYRc

Easy Strategy

Portfolio

Prime           Description      Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
SPY15C150   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  01/25/13    1,243   10/31/13    2,930
SPY15C155   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  02/27/13    1,037   10/31/13    2,504
SPY15C160   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  03/27/13    1,020   10/31/13    2,080
SPY15C160   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  04/26/13    1,104   10/31/13    2,080
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  05/24/13    1,282   10/31/13    1,768
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  06/27/13    1,097   10/31/13    1,768
SPY15C170   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  07/26/13    1,079   10/31/13    1,420
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  08/27/13    1,122   10/31/13    1,768
SPY15C170   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  09/27/13    1,059   10/31/13    1,420
SPY15C180   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  10/25/13      838                    

Capital gains

01/25   Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Hold
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
          67    492    307   1655  -1052   2282  -2069   1677   4336   SPYc