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2013 September Update


The selection lists were generated before the September 27 market opening. The portfolios and capital gains summaries are current to the end of the month.


Comprehensive Strategy, stocks

Selection list

The Zacks screener was used to find approximately 250 stocks with price at least $5 and the lowest PEG ratios. Price histories were downloaded from Google and current trends were calculated:

Company                        Trend  Hardnose Group             End Market
-----------------------------  -----  --------------------  ---------------
PGTI  PGT Inc                  246 X  Building Materials                USA
JAZZ  Jazz Pharmaceuticals     243    Biotechnology                USA/intl
BBSI  Barrett Business         220    Business Services                 USA
AFSI  Amtrust Financial        196    Insurance                    USA/intl
OCN   Ocwen Financial          192    Banks                        USA/intl
LAD   Lithia Motors            166    Autos & Trucks                    USA
AZO   AutoZone Inc             162    Auto Parts                 USA/Mexico
TKTCY Talk Talk                156 X  Utilities, Telecom                 UK
SFUN  SouFun Holdings          153    Information Services            China
NSANY Nissan Motor             146 X  Autos & Trucks             Japan/intl
QCOR  Questcor Pharma-         140 X  Biotechnology                     USA
ITOCY Itochu Corp              126    Conglomerates                    intl
ABG   Asbury Automotive        125    Autos & Trucks                    USA
REGI  Renewable Energy         125    Oil & Gas                         USA
MU    Micron Technology        122    Semiconductors                   intl
MHK   Mohawk Ind               119    Building Materials         USA/Europe
CPA   Copa Holdings            119    Airlines                    LatinAmer
LNDC  Landec Corp              115 X  Chemicals                    USA/intl
VRX   Valeant Pharmaceuticals  114    Drugs                            intl
OSTK  Overstock.com            113 X  Retail, Specialty            USA/intl

Portfolio

AFSI split 11:10.

I chose MU for the periodic purchase. I bypassed PGTI, JAZZ, BBSI, AFSI, OCN, LAD, and AZO because I already own them; TKTCY, NSANY, and QCOR because they are more than halfway towards a trend reversal; SFUN, ABG, and REGI because they are in the same groups as stocks I already own; and ITOCY because it is a conglomerate:

Prime      Hardnose Group        Qty        Start            End of Month  
-----   --------------------   -----  -----------------   -----------------
AFSI    Insurance               1210  08/26/11   22,593   09/30/13   47,202
BBSI    Business Services        350  11/27/12   11,018   09/30/13   23,558
BITA    Information Services    1500  07/26/13   18,445   09/30/13   24,180
CAMP    Electronic Equipment    3000  07/27/12   22,342   09/30/13   52,830
CHL     Utilities, Telecom       350  04/19/05    5,662   09/30/13   19,750
CPA     Airlines                 150  08/27/13   19,904   09/30/13   20,800
DXPE    Industrial Equipment     500  09/27/12   23,802   09/30/13   39,485
JAZZ    Biotechnology            500  01/27/12   24,010   09/30/13   45,985
LAD     Autos & Trucks           500  12/14/12   17,246   09/30/13   36,480
MGAM    Entertainment           1500  05/25/12   19,133   09/30/13   51,825
MU      Semiconductors          1000  09/27/13   17,935                    
MWE     Oil & Gas                300  12/15/11   16,044   09/30/13   21,669
OCN     Banks                    500  06/27/12    9,230   09/30/13   27,885
PGTI    Building Materials      2000  06/27/13   17,304   09/30/13   19,800

Capital gains

12/14  01/25   Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep   Prime
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
        2267                                                           AAMC
-2249     90                                                           AAPL
  462   5544   -121   1540  -3289   1507   2937   6523  -6501   7910   AFSI
-2889  -1782                                                           ASPS
 3486   2751   2303   6286    196   2379                               BBSI
                                    1887  -2142   6317  -2097   1064   BBSI
                                                         2135   3600   BITA
-1440    -60   7800     60    480   6120   4290   2250   3120   3660   CAMP
  500                                                                   CHL
  434  -1182    346   -584    738  -1204    -10    402    368    860    CHL
                                                                 896    CPA
               1081   3860  -2050  -4095                               CRAY
  205   5030   3110   6250  -3910  -3905   3765   1255   -565   5495   DXPE
                                          -3723                        HIMX
  925  -3373                                                           IACI
 -460   3180    415  -1135   1220   4810    380   3414   6066   2140   JAZZ
        3584   -280   3190   1020   1285    610   5965    190   3670    LAD
 -285    225   6870   3255   5685   1395    720  13380   6375  -7035   MGAM
                                                                         MU
 -588   1422   1065   1074    735    792    303   1008  -1026   1632    MWE
  590   2830   2090  -1500  -1340   6200  -1560    125                  OCN
                                                  3200   1410   2665    OCN
                                                  2696    360   -560   PGTI
        1527                                                           RESI
                      2743    294   -574  -2436                        VIPS
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
-1310  22053  24679  25039   -221  16597   3134  46535   9835  25997  Total

Comprehensive Strategy, call options

Selection list

The Zacks screener was used to find approximately 750 stocks with price at least $5, the lowest PEG ratios, and LEAPs in the most distant complete series. Price histories were downloaded from Google. Current trends, premium ratios, and merits were calculated:

Company                        Merit  Hardnose Group             End Market
-----------------------------  -----  --------------------  ---------------
PETM  PetSmart Inc             339    Retail, Specialty          USA/Canada
UNP   Union Pacific            338    Railroads                         USA
ORLY  O'Reilly Automotive      322    Auto Parts                        USA
AZO   AutoZone Inc             299    Auto Parts                 USA/Mexico
HD    (The) Home Depot         293    Home Furnishings                NAmer
CI    Cigna Corp               291    Healthcare Plans             USA/intl
CMCSK Comcast Corp             289    Utilities, Telecom               intl
IBM   Intl Business Machines   259    Information Services             intl
MCK   McKesson Corp            259    Drugs                             USA
DFS   Discover Financial       246    Credit Services                   USA
OCN   Ocwen Financial          218    Banks                        USA/intl
LYB   LyondellBasell Ind       214    Chemicals                        intl
DTV   DIRECTV                  201    Utilities, Telecom      USA/LatinAmer
TSM   Taiwan Semiconductor     191 X  Semiconductors                   intl
GILD  Gilead Sciences          182    Biotechnology                    intl
GME   Gamestop Corp            139    Electronic Supplies              intl
VRX   Valeant Pharmaceuticals  129    Drugs                            intl
MU    Micron Technology        118    Semiconductors                   intl
GMCR  Green Mountain Coffee    113 X  Packaged Goods             USA/Canada
QCOR  Questcor Pharma-          91 X  Biotechnology                     USA

Portfolio

I chose HD for the periodic purchase. I bypassed PETM, UNP, and AZO because I already own them and ORLY because it is in the same group as AZO:

Prime       Hardnose Group       Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
ACT15C95    Drugs                  2  03/27/13    1,910   09/30/13    7,220
AZO14C380   Auto Parts             1  08/27/12    4,049   09/30/13    4,954
CAR15C35    Rental Services        7  05/24/13    3,793   09/30/13    1,680
CI15C60     Healthcare Plans       3  01/25/13    2,317   09/30/13    7,086
CMCSK15C37  Utilities, Telecom     5  12/14/12    2,047   09/30/13    2,900
DFS14C40    Credit Services        5  07/31/12    1,862   09/30/13    6,500
DRI14C52.5  Restaurants            3  10/26/12    1,585   09/30/13       96
GME15C55    Electronic Supplies    5  08/27/13    3,732   09/30/13    3,250
HD15C77.5   Home Furnishings       3  09/27/13    2,089                    
LYB15C70    Chemicals              3  07/26/13    2,200   09/30/13    2,700
PETM15C70   Retail, Specialty      3  11/27/12    3,550   09/30/13    3,150
PII15C87.5  Recreation             2  02/27/13    2,750   09/30/13    3,580
ROST15C65   Apparel                3  06/27/13    2,488   09/30/13    3,441
UNP14C140   Railroads              2  09/27/12    2,570   09/30/13    6,682

Capital gains

12/14  01/25   Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep   Prime
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
                              -10      0   5320      0      0      0   ACTc
-1500   -320    850    730   1010    654    516   1340  -2314    168   AZOc
                                            -13    -70  -1610   -420   CARc
                -10    573    825    690     60   2067     60    504    CIc
         -12    415    -50    350    640   -830     90    250      0 CMCSKc
  250   -760   -175   1840   -455   1450   -285    885  -1075   2525   DFSc
 -885   -303     45    435      0    300   -510   -201   -225    -48   DRIc
                                                                -482   GMEc
                                                                        HDc
                                                          320    180   LYBc
  -10   -750   -720      0   -180    750   -120     30   -210    810  PETMc
                                     594  -1620  -1566                 PHMc
                       -10   -180      0      0   1020      0      0   PIIc
                                                   215    201    537  ROSTc
  422    816    -78    442   1430   2190    -40    264  -1302      0   UNPc
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
-1723  -1329    327   3960   2790   7268   2478   4074  -5905   3774  Total

Real Estate Fund Strategy

Portfolio

Prime           Description      Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
IYR14C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  10/26/12    1,240   09/30/13      663
IYR15C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  11/27/12    1,825   09/30/13    1,440
IYR15C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  12/14/12    1,490   09/30/13    1,440
IYR15C69    US Real Estate ETF     3  01/25/13    1,225   09/30/13      843
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  02/27/13    1,369   09/30/13    1,245
IYR15C70    US Real Estate ETF     3  03/27/13    1,180   09/30/13      741
IYR15C73    US Real Estate ETF     3  04/26/13    1,195   09/30/13      468
IYR15C73    US Real Estate ETF     3  05/24/13    1,264   09/30/13      468
IYR15C67    US Real Estate ETF     3  06/27/13    1,465   09/30/13      960
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  07/26/13    1,450   09/30/13    1,245
IYR15C63    US Real Estate ETF     3  08/27/13    1,462   09/30/13    1,605
IYR15C65    US Real Estate ETF     3  09/27/13    1.336                    

Capital gains

12/14  01/25   Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Hold
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
 -316   1291    170    590   4259    755  -7927   2519  -6484   1316   IYRc

Easy Strategy

Portfolio

Prime           Description      Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
SPY15C150   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  01/25/13    1,243   09/30/13    2,320
SPY15C155   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  02/27/13    1,037   09/30/13    1,960
SPY15C160   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  03/27/13    1,020   09/30/13    1,569
SPY15C160   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  04/26/13    1,104   09/30/13    1,569
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  05/24/13    1,282   09/30/13    1,305
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  06/27/13    1,097   09/30/13    1,305
SPY15C170   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  07/26/13    1,079   09/30/13    1,010
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  08/27/13    1,122   09/30/13    1,305
SPY15C170   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  09/27/13    1,059                    

Capital gains

12/14  01/25   Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Hold
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
                 67    492    307   1655  -1052   2282  -2069   1677   SPYc