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2013 July Update


The selection lists were generated before the July 26 market opening. The portfolios and capital gains summaries are current to the end of the month.


Comprehensive Strategy, stocks

Selection list

The Zacks screener was used to find approximately 250 stocks with Price Over $5 and the lowest PEG ratios. Price histories were downloaded from Google and current trends were calculated:

Company                        Trend  Hardnose Group             End Market
-----------------------------  -----  --------------------  ---------------
JAZZ  Jazz Pharmaceuticals     223    Biotechnology                USA/intl
BBSI  Barrett Business         214    Business Services                 USA
AN    Autonation Inc           182    Autos & Trucks                    USA
OCN   Ocwen Financial          169    Banks                        USA/intl
OWW   Orbitz Worldwide         163    Entertainment                    intl
TKTCY Talk Talk Telecom        156 X  Utilities, Telecom                 UK
LAD   Lithia Motors            148    Autos & Trucks                    USA
NSANY Nissan Motors            146    Autos & Trucks                   intl
DXPE  DXP Enterprises          144    Industrial Equipment              USA
TREX  Trex Co                  134 X  Building Materials                USA
BITA  Bitauto Holdings         128    Information Services            China
ITOCY Itochu Corp              126    Conglomerates              Japan/intl
REGI  Renewable Energy         121    Oil & Gas                         USA
DSEEY Daiwa Securities         121    Investments                Japan/intl
CPA   Copa Holdings            119    Airlines                    LatinAmer
ABG   Asbury Automotive        111    Autos & Trucks                    USA
RJET  Republic Airways         109    Airlines                        NAmer
VAC   Marriot Vacations        109    Entertainment                USA/intl
MHK   Mohawk Ind               108    Building Materials         USA/Europe
TA    TravelCenters of Amer    107    Retail, Specialty                 USA

Portfolio

I sold half of OCN to rebalance.

I chose BITA for the periodic purchase. I bypassed JAZZ, BBSI, OCN, LAD, and DXPE because I already own them; TKTCY because it is in a downtrend; and AN, OWW, NSANY, and TREX because they are in the same groups as stocks I already own:

Prime      Hardnose Group        Qty        Start                End       
-----   --------------------   -----  -----------------   -----------------
OCN     Banks                    500  06/27/12    9,230   07/02/13   20,735

Prime      Hardnose Group        Qty        Start            End of Month  
-----   --------------------   -----  -----------------   -----------------
AFSI    Insurance               1100  08/26/11   22,593   07/31/13   45,793
BBSI    Business Services        350  11/27/12   11,018   07/31/13   24,591
BITA    Information Services    1500  07/26/13   18,445                    
CAMP    Electronic Equipment    3000  07/27/12   22,342   07/31/13   46,050
CHL     Utilities, Telecom       350  04/19/05    5,662   07/31/13   18,522
DXPE    Industrial Equipment     500  09/27/12   23,802   07/31/13   34,555
JAZZ    Biotechnology            500  01/27/12   24,010   07/31/13   37,779
LAD     Autos & Trucks           500  12/14/12   17,246   07/31/13   32,620
MGAM    Entertainment           1500  05/25/12   19,133   07/31/13   52,485
MWE     Oil & Gas                300  12/15/11   16,044   07/31/13   21,063
OCN     Banks                    500  06/27/12    9,230   07/31/13   23,810
PGTI    Building Materials      2000  06/27/13   17,304   07/31/13   20,000

Capital gains

10/26  11/27  12/14  01/25   Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul   Prime
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
                      2267                                             AAMC
        -371  -2249     90                                             AAPL
 -634                                                                 AAPLc
 1199   3773    462   5544   -121   1540  -3289   1507   2937   6523   AFSI
 8808  -3219  -2889  -1782                                             ASPS
               3486   2751   2303   6286    196   2379                 BBSI
                                                  1887  -2142   6317   BBSI
                                                                       BITA
 1260    150  -1440    -60   7800     60    480   6120   4290   2250   CAMP
   84    196    500                                                     CHL
                434  -1182    346   -584    738  -1204    -10    402    CHL
                             1081   3860  -2050  -4095                 CRAY
  128  -1175    205   5030   3110   6250  -3910  -3905   3765   1255   DXPE
                                                        -3723          HIMX
 1425  -2940    925  -3373                                             IACI
 1210  -1410   -460   3180    415  -1135   1220   4810    380   3414   JAZZ
                      3584   -280   3190   1020   1285    610   5965    LAD
  -45  -2265   -285    225   6870   3255   5685   1395    720  13380   MGAM
-4142                                                                  MLNX
  126  -1071   -588   1422   1065   1074    735    792    303   1008    MWE
 1040  -4890    590   2830   2090  -1500  -1340   6200  -1560    125    OCN
                                                                3200    OCN
                                                                2696   PGTI
                      1527                                             RESI
                                    2743    294   -574  -2436          VIPS
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
12791 -13222  -1310  22053  24679  25039   -221  16597   3134  46535  Total

Comprehensive Strategy, call options

Selection list

The Zacks screener was used to find approximately 750 stocks with Price Over $5, the lowest PEG ratios, and LEAPs in the most distant complete series. Price histories were downloaded from Google. Current trends, premium ratios, and merits were calculated:

Company                        Merit  Hardnose Group             End Market
-----------------------------  -----  --------------------  ---------------
PII   Polaris Ind              407    Recreation                   USA/intl
UNP   Union Pacific            313    Railroads                         USA
PETM  PetSmart Inc             308    Retail, Specialty          USA/Canada
AZO   AutoZone Inc             284    Auto Parts                 USA/Mexico
CMCSK Comcast Corp             270    Utilities, Telecom           USA/intl
ORLY  O'Reilly Automotive      270    Auto Parts                        USA
CI    Cigna Corp               269    Healthcare Plans             USA/intl
MCK   McKesson Corp            224    Drugs                             USA
DFS   Discover Financial       217    Credit Services                   USA
DTV   DIRECTV Inc              181    Utilities, Telecom      USA/LatinAmer
M     Macy's Inc               177    Retail, Variety                   USA
TSM   Taiwan Semiconductor     173 X  Semiconductors                   intl
OCN   Ocwen Financial          171    Banks                        USA/intl
LYB   LyondellBasel Ind        168    Chemicals                        intl
GPS   The Gap Inc              157    Apparel                          intl
MPC   Marathon Petroleum       155 X  Oil & Gas                         USA
GILD  Gilead Sciences          148    Biotechnology                    intl
TSO   Tesoro Corp              117 X  Oil & Gas                         USA
GMCR  Green Mountain Coffee    107    Packaged Goods             USA/Canada
LGF   Lions Gate               106    Entertainment                USA/intl

Portfolio

I sold PHM15C22 because PHM developed a downtrend.

I chose LYB for the periodic purchase. I bypassed PII, UNP, PETM, AZO, CMCS, CI, DFS, and OCN because I already own them; ORLY, MCK, DTV, and M because they are in the same groups as stocks I already own; and TSM because it is more than halfway towards a trend reversal:

Prime       Hardnose Group       Qty        Start                End       
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
PHM15C22    Homebuilding          10  04/26/13    4,206   07/26/13    1,614

Prime       Hardnose Group       Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
ACT15C95    Drugs                  2  03/27/13    1,910   07/31/13    7,220
AZO14C380   Auto Parts             1  08/27/12    4,049   07/31/13    7,100
CAR15C35    Rental Services        7  05/24/13    3,793   07/31/13    3,710
CI15C60     Healthcare Plans       3  01/25/13    2,317   07/31/13    6,522
CMCSK15C37  Utilities, Telecom     5  12/14/12    2,047   07/31/13    2,650
DFS14C40    Credit Services        5  07/31/12    1,862   07/31/13    5,050
DRI14C52.5  Restaurants            3  10/26/12    1,585   07/31/13      369
LYB15C70    Chemicals              3  07/26/13    2,200                    
PETM15C70   Retail, Specialty      3  11/27/12    3,550   07/31/13    2,550
PII15C87.5  Recreation             2  02/27/13    2,750   07/31/13    3,580
ROST15C65   Apparel                3  06/27/13    2,488   07/31/13    2,703
UNP14C140   Railroads              2  09/27/12    2,570   07/31/13    7,984

Capital gains

10/26  11/27  12/14  01/25   Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul   Prime
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
                                            -10      0   5320      0   ACTc
 -470    620  -1500   -320    850    730   1010    654    516   1340   AZOc
                                                          -13    -70   CARc
                              -10    573    825    690     60   2067    CIc
                       -12    415    -50    350    640   -830     90 CMCSKc
  600   -200    250   -760   -175   1840   -455   1450   -285    885   DFSc
         -97   -885   -303     45    435      0    300   -510   -201   DRIc
                                                                       LYBc
                -10   -750   -720      0   -180    750   -120     30  PETMc
                                                   594  -1620  -1566   PHMc
                                     -10   -180      0      0   1020   PIIc
                                                                 215  ROSTc
   58    -90    422    816    -78    442   1430   2190    -40    264   UNPc
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
  188    233  -1723  -1329    327   3960   2790   7268   2478   4074  Total

Real Estate Fund Strategy

Portfolio

Prime           Description      Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
IYR14C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  10/26/12    1,240   07/31/13    1,305
IYR15C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  11/27/12    1,825   07/31/13    2,370
IYR15C64    US Real Estate ETF     3  12/14/12    1,490   07/31/13    2,370
IYR15C69    US Real Estate ETF     3  01/25/13    1,225   07/31/13    1,260
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  02/27/13    1,369   07/31/13    1,440
IYR15C70    US Real Estate ETF     3  03/27/13    1,180   07/31/13    1,038
IYR15C73    US Real Estate ETF     3  04/26/13    1,195   07/31/13      945
IYR15C73    US Real Estate ETF     3  05/24/13    1,264   07/31/13      945
IYR15C67    US Real Estate ETF     3  06/27/13    1,465   07/31/13    1,701
IYR15C68    US Real Estate ETF     3  07/26/13    1,450                    

Capital gains

10/26  11/27  12/14  01/25   Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Hold
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
        -220   -316   1291    170    590   4259    755  -7927   2519   IYRc

Easy Strategy

Portfolio

Prime           Description      Qty        Start            End of Month  
----------  --------------------  --  -----------------   -----------------
SPY15C150   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  01/25/13    1,243   07/31/13    2,376
SPY15C155   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  02/27/13    1,037   07/31/13    1,988
SPY15C160   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  03/27/13    1,020   07/31/13    1,710
SPY15C160   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  04/26/13    1,104   07/31/13    1,710
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  05/24/13    1,282   07/31/13    1,375
SPY15C165   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  06/27/13    1,097   07/31/13    1,375
SPY15C170   S&P 500 Index ETF      1  07/26/13    1,079                    

Capital gains

10/26  11/27  12/14  01/25   Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Hold
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
                               67    492    307   1655  -1052   2282   SPYc