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2011 January 27 Update


The selection list was generated before the market opening. The portfolio and capital gains summary are current to the market close.


Selection list

This selection list is for purchases of 2013 call options. The Yahoo Java screener was used to find stocks with PEG ratio at least 0.01, historical price data for the stocks in the lowest 20% of PEG ratios were downloaded from the MSN database, and current trends were calculated. Stocks without strong uptrends or 2013 options were eliminated.

These are the twenty stocks with the strongest uptrends. The premium ratio Rp is for a fictitious 2013 call option with strike price equal to the price of the underlying security:

TICKER SYMBOL AND NAME    Trend Rp                      ACTIVITY AND MARKET
-------------------------  ---  --  ---------------------------------------
SPRD  Spreadtrum Comm      288  27  mobile semiconductor design      global
RDWR  Radware Ltd          205  18  network data software            global
LTD   Limited Brands       172  18  women's apparel stores              USA
DECK  Deckers Outdoor      168  26  integrated outdoor/casual shoes     USA
AAPL  Apple Inc            143  19  mobile devices, computers        global
LVS   Las Vegas Sands      139  30  casino/convention resorts        global
XEC   Cimarex Energy       137  18  onshore upstream oil/gas         global
MET   MetLife Inc          136  17  insurance, financial services    global
CSX   CSX Corp             122  15  freight railroad                 N Amer
SLM   SLM Corp             119  20  education finance services          USA
CI    CIGNA Corp           118  17  diverse health care plans           USA
NVLS  Novellus Systems     116  19  semiconductor fab equipment      global
UNP   Union Pacific        108  15  freight railroad                 N Amer
LRCX  Lam Research         108  21  semiconductor fab equipment      global
ALTR  Altera Corp          104  19  programmable semiconductors         USA
IDCC  InterDigital Inc      98  25  mobile semiconductor design      global
PCS   MetroPCS Comm         95  25  wireless broadband carrier          USA
TQNT  TriQuint Semi         89  27  communications semiconductors    global
DTV   DIRECTV               84  15  digital television utility          USA
AXL   American Axle         84  29  car/truck power train systems       USA

Portfolio

I sold SLW because it developed a downtrend.

I chose AAPL for the periodic purchase, buying an option to leverage my cash. I bypassed SPRD because its premium ratio is too high, RDWR and DECK because I already own them, and LTD because it is more than halfway towards a trend reversal. Note that I inadvertently exceeded the price limit for the underlying stock.

TICKER SYMBOL AND NAME           QTY        START                END       
-------------------------       ----  -----------------   -----------------
SLW   Silver Wheaton             500  11/26/10   17,501   01/26/11   14,789

TICKER SYMBOL AND NAME           QTY        START               TODAY      
-------------------------       ----  -----------------   -----------------
AAPL13C345  Apple Inc call         1  01/27/11    6,566                    
ALV   Autoliv Inc                300  08/27/10   16,595   01/27/11   24,276
CHL   China Mobile               700  04/19/05   11,323   01/27/11   34,608
CTSH  Cognizant Technology       350  06/26/09    9,300   01/27/11   25,610
CXO   Concho Resources           300  07/27/10   18,009   01/27/11   26,295
DECK  Deckers Outdoor            300  12/15/10   24,431   01/27/11   22,986
HS    HealthSpring Inc          1000  03/26/10   17,710   01/27/11   32,480
HTGC  Hercules Technology       2000  05/27/10   17,974   01/27/11   21,660
LZ    Lubrizol Corp              200  09/27/10   21,411   01/27/11   21,648
NNI   Nelnet Inc                1000  10/27/10   23,062   01/27/11   22,890
RDWR  Radware Ltd               1000  06/25/10   21,030   01/27/11   36,870

Capital gains

04/27  05/27  06/25  07/27  08/27  09/27  10/27  11/26  12/15  01/27   Bull
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
                                                                      AAPLc
                                    2392   2250   1200   1137    702    ALV
 1106  -1561   2296     56   1421   -812   -252   -623   -777    126    CHL
  280   -511   1274   1505   2185                                      CTSH
                             1351   1838    760     84   1046   1376   CTSH
-2805  -1982                                                           CVVT
                             -402   1365   1593   3768    885   1077    CXO
                                                               -1445   DECK
       -3374                                                            FCX
 1845  -2055  -2257                                                    GLNG
 -640                                                                  HGRD
  385   2380  -2275    175   6188                                      HGRD
 -690    630   -530     30   3350   5380    660   1080   -210   5070     HS
               1046   1880  -2100    920   1040   -640    100   1440   HTGC
                                           1151  -1146    -40    272     LZ
                                                  -822    420    230    NNI
                      1970   2270   8230   2480  -3590   6370  -1890   RDWR
                                                         1454  -4166    SLW
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
 -519  -6473   -446   5616  14262  19313   9682   -689  10385   2792  Total

04/27  05/27  06/25  07/27  08/27  09/27  10/27  11/26  12/15  01/27  Hedge
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
  505                                                                   CHA
  770    345                                                            CHA
 -290   1942   -483  -1351    609  -2483  -1104                         EEM
 -569   2316    868  -1105   1407  -2223  -1114                         SPY
                                      86  -2214                        TRWp
-1080    420  -1950                                                     UNG
 2786   1260     -9   -315    579  -1503    311                         WLP
        1426                                                            XLB
                                           -674                        XLBp
                223   -248   1605  -1073   -180                         XLF
                     -1710   1350  -2090  -1120                         XLK
 1240   1650      0    140    360                                       XLV
                              521  -1335   -244                        XOPp
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
 3362   9359  -1351  -4589   5900 -10621  -6339      0      0      0  Total